Affected by factors such as the slowing down of the country’s economic growth rate and the full-scale hydropower supply, the country’s electricity consumption did not appear last year’s tense situation in the first half of this year. According to the data from the China Electricity Regulatory Commission, in the first half of the year, no major power cuts occurred in all major provinces and cities in the country.
However, industry experts pointed out that with the introduction of a number of economic stimulus plans by the local government for steady growth in the second half of the year, there is a rapid increase in the use of electricity in the second half of the year. Power companies cannot take it lightly and need to respond actively.
The intensive introduction of industrial planning in various places has led to the introduction of intensive industrial planning in the near future, involving an investment amount of RMB 1 trillion. According to incomplete statistics, the amount of local investment plans announced since July involved nearly 7 trillion yuan.
This round of local version investment focuses on the development of local characteristic industries. Although its planning content is not immediately available in the second half of the year, its pull on the economy cannot be underestimated.
In July, Guangdong implemented a major construction project to openly invite private investment. The first batch of 44 projects were launched, with a total investment of 233.5 billion yuan, of which traffic and urban construction projects accounted for nearly 60%. In the same month, Changsha City in Hunan Province had 195 major promotion projects in 2012 with a total investment of 829.2 billion yuan. Among them, major projects involve areas such as the integrated transportation system, urban facilities system, and new urbanization layout. In August, Chongqing announced a three-year revitalization plan for major industries in the industrial sector, and the city’s industrial investment will total 1.5 trillion yuan, involving automobiles, advanced equipment manufacturing, and integrated chemical industries.
Data from CEC shows that from January to July, the country’s infrastructure construction capacity increased by 28.92 million kilowatts, a decrease of 12.31 million kilowatts from the same period of last year. From January to July, the country’s new power supply project started at 16.73 million kilowatts, a decrease of 7.17 million kilowatts from the same period last year.
By the end of July, the national power project was under construction at a scale of approximately 17,972 kilowatts, a decrease of 5.68 million kilowatts from the same period of last year. Among them, the scale of thermal power projects under construction is about 63.29 million kilowatts, which is 2.53 million kilowatts less than the same period of last year. Since 2011, the scale of thermal power projects under construction has continued to be below 70 million kilowatts.
Market participants pointed out that if the new wave of investment led by the local government is well implemented in this round, electricity as a basic industry for economic development will be subject to certain tests.
The high energy-consuming industry fears that the use of electricity to stabilize the main data released by the National Bureau of Statistics shows that the average housing prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities in China rose in July, and rose slightly for the second consecutive month. According to analysis by Liu Qiang, a senior real estate analyst at Beijing Shunyixing Lianhe Bank, real property prices in Beijing and other cities should be more rapid than forecast. According to expert analysis, the rebound in the housing market is expected to increase. As a high-energy-consuming industry such as cement and iron and steel, which is highly associated with real estate, there is a possibility that the repressed productivity will be released centrally.
Lin Boqiang, director of the China Energy Economic Research Center at Xiamen University, believes that the current economic environment is not optimistic. In order to stimulate economic development, the government will encourage the development of high energy-consuming industries. Lin Boqiang said: "At present, because coal prices are relatively cheap and easy to purchase, if coal-fired power plants do a good job of depositing coal, under the circumstances that the installed capacity of thermal power in the country is sufficient, the possibility of a large-scale power shortage in the second half of the year is unlikely, and the overall electricity consumption will be low. Or will be based on stability." Lin Boqiang believes that if the implementation of local government economic stimulus measures, the national housing market continues to pick up the trend, the first half of next year, the situation of tension or power.
However, industry experts pointed out that with the introduction of a number of economic stimulus plans by the local government for steady growth in the second half of the year, there is a rapid increase in the use of electricity in the second half of the year. Power companies cannot take it lightly and need to respond actively.
The intensive introduction of industrial planning in various places has led to the introduction of intensive industrial planning in the near future, involving an investment amount of RMB 1 trillion. According to incomplete statistics, the amount of local investment plans announced since July involved nearly 7 trillion yuan.
This round of local version investment focuses on the development of local characteristic industries. Although its planning content is not immediately available in the second half of the year, its pull on the economy cannot be underestimated.
In July, Guangdong implemented a major construction project to openly invite private investment. The first batch of 44 projects were launched, with a total investment of 233.5 billion yuan, of which traffic and urban construction projects accounted for nearly 60%. In the same month, Changsha City in Hunan Province had 195 major promotion projects in 2012 with a total investment of 829.2 billion yuan. Among them, major projects involve areas such as the integrated transportation system, urban facilities system, and new urbanization layout. In August, Chongqing announced a three-year revitalization plan for major industries in the industrial sector, and the city’s industrial investment will total 1.5 trillion yuan, involving automobiles, advanced equipment manufacturing, and integrated chemical industries.
Data from CEC shows that from January to July, the country’s infrastructure construction capacity increased by 28.92 million kilowatts, a decrease of 12.31 million kilowatts from the same period of last year. From January to July, the country’s new power supply project started at 16.73 million kilowatts, a decrease of 7.17 million kilowatts from the same period last year.
By the end of July, the national power project was under construction at a scale of approximately 17,972 kilowatts, a decrease of 5.68 million kilowatts from the same period of last year. Among them, the scale of thermal power projects under construction is about 63.29 million kilowatts, which is 2.53 million kilowatts less than the same period of last year. Since 2011, the scale of thermal power projects under construction has continued to be below 70 million kilowatts.
Market participants pointed out that if the new wave of investment led by the local government is well implemented in this round, electricity as a basic industry for economic development will be subject to certain tests.
The high energy-consuming industry fears that the use of electricity to stabilize the main data released by the National Bureau of Statistics shows that the average housing prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities in China rose in July, and rose slightly for the second consecutive month. According to analysis by Liu Qiang, a senior real estate analyst at Beijing Shunyixing Lianhe Bank, real property prices in Beijing and other cities should be more rapid than forecast. According to expert analysis, the rebound in the housing market is expected to increase. As a high-energy-consuming industry such as cement and iron and steel, which is highly associated with real estate, there is a possibility that the repressed productivity will be released centrally.
Lin Boqiang, director of the China Energy Economic Research Center at Xiamen University, believes that the current economic environment is not optimistic. In order to stimulate economic development, the government will encourage the development of high energy-consuming industries. Lin Boqiang said: "At present, because coal prices are relatively cheap and easy to purchase, if coal-fired power plants do a good job of depositing coal, under the circumstances that the installed capacity of thermal power in the country is sufficient, the possibility of a large-scale power shortage in the second half of the year is unlikely, and the overall electricity consumption will be low. Or will be based on stability." Lin Boqiang believes that if the implementation of local government economic stimulus measures, the national housing market continues to pick up the trend, the first half of next year, the situation of tension or power.
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